A certain dog can catch a properly thrown tennis ball with a probability of 0 point 9 5 Unfortunately, this dog has dropped the last six properly thrown tennis balls. The owner explains that the next throw has to be caught by the dog because he never misses this many. Is the owner’s reasoning correct?

Each properly thrown ball is a new event, and the dog’s chance of catching it remains 0.95, or 95%, regardless of the previous throws. The six drops do not make a catch certain on the next throw; the dog could still drop it. The owner is right that the dog catches 95% over the long run, but that does not determine what happens on this particular throw, so D is correct.

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