Daniel has decided to drive to work instead of taking the bus because of a recent publicized bus crash that has caused him to overestimate the incidence of such disasters. His decision is most likely being influenced by the __________.

A recent, widely publicized crash is easy for Daniel to recall, so he judges bus crashes to be more common than they really are. This is the availability heuristic: estimating how likely something is based on how readily examples come to mind. Confirmation bias and the representativeness heuristic do not describe this effect.

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